Kajian Prakiraan Penyeberangan Lintas Merak-Bakauheni Berdasarkan Fluktuasi Angkutan

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Mulyahadi Mulyahadi

Abstract

Production of femJ transport Merak-Bakauheni from year to year has increased, especially for autonwbiles-
4, but for lowering the passenger experience related to government polia; in 2005, which is
to charge on both passenger and goods z:ehicles not subject to tariffs.
77te problem faced btj Merak - Bakaulteni todm; is the absence of data based on fluctuations in freight
rem; transport at peak and off peak. Fluctuations in transport arrangements will lun:e an impact on
femJ scltedule arrangement, number and mpnci~/ of n.ssels, number of dermnga and parking area 4-
wheeled nwtor z:ehicle prmiided.
77re metlwd used in forecasting tlrere are two, tire first nwdel I was multi regression and a linear
trend. The forecasting results on Merak femJ - Bakaulreni to 2050 wlten the peak for 4-wheeled nwtor
vehicle, namely in the Model I = 3.2 million units and Trend = 3 million units and to Bakauheni
Model I= 3.55 million units dan Trend= 3.5 million units


Key Words: Peramalan angkutnn penyeberangnn"

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